assembly election- 2018

Assembly Election 2018 Exit Polls Predict Mixed Bag in Five States; ‘Pollster’ Shivraj Singh Chouhan Confident of BJP’s Victory in Madhya Pradesh



New Delhi: The results for Assembly Election 2018 in five states will be announced on December 11. While the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) seems confident of retaining power in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, the exit polls paint an altogether different picture. As far as Telangana and Mizoram are concerned, the K Chandrashekar Rao-led Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) is likely to retain power in the former, while the Congress rule may be toppled by the Mizo National Front (MNF) in the latter.

As predicted by the exit polls, Madhya Pradesh seems to be heading towards a hung Assembly with no single party – the BJP or Congress – crossing the majority mark which is 116 for the 230-seat Assembly. Of the many exit polls, some have given the BJP an upper hand over the Congress while some think otherwise. Despite the projection, Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan exuded confidence that the saffron party will return to power in the state with full majority. He said, “I myself is a big  psephologist and BJP is getting majority in Madhya Pradesh.”

A hung Assembly is also predicted in Chhattisgarh by the exit polls. In the 90-member Assembly, the majority mark is 46. All the exit polls agreed that former chief minister Ajit Jogi’s Janta Congress Chhattisgarh (JCC) and the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) may get to play the kingmaker in such a case. While Times Now-CNX gave a simple majority to the BJP, ABP said the saffron party would fare way better than the Congress. On the other hand, India Today-Axis predicted that the Congress is set to end Chief Minister Raman Singh’s 15-year old reign by winning anywhere between 55-65 seats.

In Rajasthan, the majority mark is 101 out of the 200 seats. While the Zee News Maha Exit poll has given the Congress 109 seats. The BJP, in contrast, has got anywhere between 80 and 90 seats in all exit polls.

In Telangana, exit polls were almost unanimous in predicting that TRS president and Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao will retain power. Republic TV and Times Now gave his party 50-65 and 66 seats respectively in the 119-member assembly. One needs 60 seats for a clear majority in the 119-seat Assembly. India Today forecast 75-91 for the ruling party.

For Mizoram, Zee News Maha Exit poll has predicted 18 seats for the MNF while the Congress’ tally would drop to 16 from 34 in 2013. In the 40-seat Assembly, 21 seats would mean a clear majority.

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